New video gives clues about motives behind attacks in northern Mozambique

For over two years, Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province has faced successive attacks from unidentified armed groups. More than 900 people have been killed since the attacks began, according to the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED).
In February, Cabo Delgado’s provincial government released a report stating that more than 150,000 people have been affected by the conflict. The latest assaults took place in late March and early April 2020 and, after one of them, a district was temporarily occupied by the attackers.
While the group's motives remain unknown — although the local population calls it “Al Shabab,” it is not known if there is a connection with Somalia's Al Shabaab group –, a video released on April 7 seems to give some clues.
Recorded in Ntchinga village, the video shows the insurgents holding an Islamic State flag and a leader addressing the local population in the Kimwan and Kiswahili languages, gathered as if attending a rally.
According to Voice of America (VOA), the video suggests a change in the group's strategy by apparently seeking support from local people.
VOA reported that these are the words spoken in the video:
Days after the video’s release, the attackers destroyed a Catholic church in the region. Pope Francis then asked for a blessing for the people of Cabo Delgado:
Interior of the #Nangololo #Catholic mission, in Muidumbe district, vandalized, Thursday, by the #ViolentExtremists who have been terrorizing communities, and targeting military barracks, for two years, in #CaboDelgado, northern Mozambique. @CDD_Moz @TamukaKagoro77 @zenaidamz
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In late March, photos of the group bearing an Islamic State flag in what looks like the administration offices of the village of Quissanga circulated widely on social media (Global Voices has attempted to verify the authorship and date of the photo but could not):
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The central government stated that these attacks must stop and the perpetrators must be arrested and sentenced:
As well as the attacks, there are reports of disappearances of journalists. The most recent disappearance was that of a local radio presenter, RFI Portuguese reported:
In a report published on April 13 by the Institute of Economic and Social Studies (IESE), the researcher Sérgio Chichava argues that everything indicates the country is facing a radical Islamic group which wants to impose Islamic law.
For now, more research is needed to understand the changes the group has gone through over the last two and a half years, and the reasons for it choosing military means to achieve its goal, after initially favoring nonviolent action.
Quem é o "inimigo" que ataca Cabo Delgado? É o +recente #IDeIASn_127 de @schichava, que apresenta as diferentes hipóteses do governo moçambicano sobre a identidade e os objectivos do grupo que, desde 5 de Outubro de 2017, ataca a província. Leia-o aqui: iese.ac.mz/wp-content/upl…
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Who is the “enemy” attacking Cabo Delgado? The +recent #IDeIASn_127 of @schichava, presents the different hypotheses of the Mozambican government about the identity and objectives of the group that, since 5 October 2017, has been attacking the province. Read it here.
Recently, a group of local artists released a song in local languages to call for the attacks in the province to stop:
A primeira música facebook.com/10001415914593… que acompanho condenando os ataques de #CaboDelgado. O grupo é de Mueda e canta em Maconde, Swahili e Português.
CORO:
Porquê nos matam, nos cortam como se fôssemos galinhas,
porquê nos matam, nos injustiçam porquê
O que fizemos?!
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The first song I’ve heard condemning the attacks in #CaboDelgado. The group is from Mueda and sings in Maconde, Swahili and Portuguese.CHORUS:Why they kill us, cut us like chickens,
why do they kill us, why do they wrong us
What have we done?!
The Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) highlighted that if control over the situation is lost, a major crisis could be triggered throughout the southern African region::



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